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PREDICTION MARKETS HIT $50B AS FRANCE CRACKS DOWN

INDUSTRY DESK1 MIN READ
SUN, JUL 26, 2026

■ AI-SUMMARIZED FROM 5 SOURCES ▸ TIMELINE

Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket exceeded $50 billion in total wagers for the first time in June, with $5.69 billion wagered on the FIFA World Cup final alone. France's gambling authority has blocked access to Polymarket, citing risks of significant losses and manipulated trading.

The two platforms have grown rapidly as alternatives to traditional sports betting, allowing users to wager on elections, sports events, and other outcomes. Dune Analytics confirmed the milestone in June volumes, reflecting explosive growth in decentralized betting. France's National Gambling Authority ordered internet service providers to block Polymarket's website, escalating regulatory scrutiny in Europe. The regulator expressed concern about consumer protection and market manipulation on unregulated platforms. The crackdown reflects broader tension between prediction market operators and regulators globally. Kalshi and Polymarket have also engaged in competitive battles domestically, with sources detailing lobbying efforts and regulatory pressure campaigns between the two platforms. Regulatory challenges remain a key risk to the sector's continued growth, particularly in jurisdictions with strict gambling oversight.

■ SOURCES

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■ SUMMARY WRITTEN BY AI FROM THE LINKS ABOVE

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